Chapter 613 613. More desperate than despair
The next day, all major media, including Bomi's own online media, reported on Cao Yang's interview.
"Bomi's Go master will face the 9th-dan Lee Sedol of the Han Kingdom. This will be the biggest man-machine century war since the year 2000. The artificial intelligence developed by Bomi and Lee Sedol, the world's recognized number one person who represents the strongest computing power of mankind. Jiuduan, what is the final outcome?
We don't know yet.
Before the competition was about to start, we conducted an exclusive interview with Mr. Cao Yang, CEO of Bomi Company.
During this interview, Mr. Cao Yang said this...
Let us look back at history. The battle between artificial intelligence and humans has never stopped.
From February 10 to 17, 1996, the chess human-machine battle between the then world chess champion Garry Kasparov and the "Deep Blue" computer was held in beautiful Philadelphia.
This man-machine battle was held to commemorate the 50th anniversary of the birth of computers in the capital.
In this 6-game match between man and machine, chess champion Kasparov defeated the computer "Deep Blue" with a total score of 4 to 2. The first human-computer chess battle ended with the human defeating the computer.
During the game, the person sitting facing the chess champion Kasparov was not a computer, but Xu Fengxiong, a representative of the "Deep Blue" development team.
In May 1997, IBM once again invited the world chess champion and the world's number one Russian chess player Garry Kasparov to the beautiful Manhattan, New York, to interact with the company's Model 97 "Deep Blue" ("Deeper Blue"). ”) The computer plays 6 games of chess. At that time, "Deep Blue"'s computing power ranked 259th among the world's supercomputers, and could calculate 200 million steps per second. On May 11, 1997, Kasparov had 1 win, 2 losses and 3 draws, and lost to the computer "Deep Blue" with a total score of 2.5 to 3.5.
Now, 13 years have passed since the last time Deep Blue defeated the world's number one player in chess, Garry Kasparov. This time Bomi's Go artificial intelligence will challenge Mr. Lee Sedol, the number one player in the world of chess. What will be the result? How?
let us wait and see. "
"Treasure! Isn't it? Bomi's artificial intelligence is going to face Lee Sedol? You know that Lee Sedol is currently the number one player in the Go world. I think Boss Cao is a little too whimsical?"
"Boss Cao is good at everything, but he likes to brag. He actually has the nerve to say that he is 70% sure of defeating Lee Sedol. In my opinion, he is not even 10%. You may not know the complexity of Go. This thing has all the answers. All the computers in the world combined wouldn't be able to calculate it.
I am very optimistic about Lee Sedol and think it is impossible for humans to be defeated by AI. "
"Go is completely different from chess. Let me talk about this issue from a person who has been professionally engaged in the field of AI for 3 years.
First of all, we have to understand one thing. Kasparov, who was defeated by Deep Blue before, should be destined to lose.
Because we know that chess has only 64 squares, black and white, and the changes that can be made are also very limited.
Of course, for most computers in the world at that time, this order of magnitude was actually quite terrifying.
But for Deep Blue, it is nothing, so Deep Blue can exhaust all calculations and get the optimal solution.
Chess, chess has exhausted all possibilities by computer brute force at the end of the 20th century.
As for Go, no computer can exhaust all possibilities so far.
The level of computers at the end of the 20th century was incomparable to the level of computers today.
If we simply look at how many changes are possible, there is no solution (the numbers cannot show it). Because there are three-kalpa cycles or even multi-kalpa cycles, although it is meaningless, there is still the possibility of change. "
"Some time ago, I forgot that I heard a professional chess player say it during a live broadcast: All the computers on the planet can't hold the exhaustive data."
"Regardless of the cost of time and computing resources, the exhaustive method is theoretically possible. Haha, Lin Jianchao mentioned in the series of lectures "Go and the State" that the total number of changes in Go calculated by military cryptographers is about the order of 10^808 (I don't know if this data is reliable) It is still too early for deep learning to crack Go (if it is defined as finding the exact optimal solution). Some current Go tools based on deep learning, such as Fine Arts and Leela, rely on each move. The winning rate of different points is not determined by finding the optimal solution for each move. In other words, it does not need to defeat the Go God. It only needs to choose the change with a high winning rate (not necessarily the highest) to defeat those who play chess with it. ”
“In layman's terms: quantum level.
It cannot be done exhaustively, as it will bankrupt mankind. "
“I feel that the answer with the most likes in the above hot search did not clearly explain the essence of Bomi's Go master's battle with Lee Sedol this time.
Bomi's Go AI does not need to be exhaustive at all, thinking that there is no need to do so.
It is artificial intelligence based entirely on another algorithm.
Or it can be said that Deep Blue used to use a very stupid method of exhaustive exhaustion and then obtaining the optimal solution.
Bomi's Go master, on the other hand, adopts the method of "learning" the human way of playing Go, turning the master's way of thinking, chess records and techniques into his own knowledge.
These are essentially two completely different paths.
It can be said that the previous Deep Blue chess AI, called a computer, mainly obtained results through calculations.
The current Bomi Go master is the real artificial intelligence.
It will actively learn, simulate and analyze.
Think about it, what is the essential difference between the two? "
“However, I feel that even if there is a big difference in algorithms, it does not mean that the current Bomi Go master can beat Lee Sedol.
I have read a report before, in which Google experts said that the strategies of artificial intelligence are very limited and single. They will not learn and adapt like humans. If you use this strategy this time, it will change next time.
Artificial intelligence cannot do this. They can only help us do things with established rules and algorithms. They can help us complete mechanical work, but they absolutely cannot replace humans' advanced mental activities.
For example, artificial intelligence cannot produce poetry, or it can only produce some meaningless things.
As someone said, if a mouse keeps dancing on the keyboard for hundreds of years, it will one day type out Shakespeare's famous lines.
Therefore, artificial intelligence can only rely on some rigid things to complete its work.
But there is certainly no way to think like a human being.
We must know that our emotions often change when making decisions.
The same goes for playing Go. Maybe if we play seriously and follow the routine, we will be caught by it.
But if we just wander around blindly, the artificial intelligence may collapse on its own.
So I am still optimistic about Lee Sedol. "
In the following days, media reporters continued to dig up relevant news.
They not only interviewed Cao Yang, but also many people from the Chinese Go Association.
It includes some masters who have come into contact with and played against Bomi's Go AI.
"Gu Li 9th Dan, what do you think of Bomi's Go master against Lee Sedol 9th Dan this time? To what extent do you think Bomi's Go AI has developed now? Is it possible, as Mr. Cao Yang said, in the future? In the game, will the Bomi Go artificial intelligence defeat Lee Sedol? "
If Lee Sedol is the number one Go player today, then Gu Li is the number one Go player in China.
He is a few years younger than Cao Yang. He won the world championship at a very young age and once defeated Lee Sedol with a score of 2-0. Although that time, Lee Sedol explained that he was not in good shape because of tiredness from the trip and poor condition. Not as strong as Gu Li.
On March 22, 2009, Coulee 9th Dan rushed to the competition site in Gangwon Province, South Korea, but Lee Sedol arrived late. Due to dissatisfaction with the schedule and venue, etc., Lee Sedol delayed starting. Later, under the "coercion" of his brother, he took a taxi to the stadium overnight. When he arrived, it was already two o'clock in the morning. This episode also became Lee Sedol's best excuse for his poor form in this game and ultimately suffered a clean sheet against Coulee.
But Guli is indeed a very powerful ninth-dan player today.
"Actually, I still can't say clearly about this question," Guli replied, "Because the last time I played chess with Master Bomi was half a year ago. At that time, I achieved 6 wins in 7 games. We The judgment of the Bomi Go master at that time was that this guy was very neurotic.
Sometimes he is very experienced in playing chess, like a master with superb chess skills, and sometimes he is like a child, who often plays some inexplicable chess.
According to our estimates at the time, Bomi's Go master should probably be at a level between the first and second tiers of his career.
But half a year has passed since then.
It's hard to say exactly what level Bomi Go master has grown to now. "
Fu Hui, a 6-dan player, responded in an interview: "I am actually not very optimistic about Lee Sedol's 9-dan match against Bomi Go master this time. Although many people have analyzed on the Internet that the development of artificial intelligence is still relatively limited. Go It is also a very complex game. It is impossible for artificial intelligence to calculate so accurately. Moreover, Lee Sedol is the number one person in the world at 9th Dan, so it is impossible for artificial intelligence to defeat Lee Sedol.
I have nothing to say about Lee Sedol's ninth-dan level. His calculation ability is recognized as the strongest, he is very stable in the later stage, and he is very creative and imaginative. Play chess with him, and you will find that there is really a small How children feel about playing chess with adults.
But from my personal experience, what is it like to play chess with Bomi's Go master?
That is, you always feel as if you can defeat him next time, but he kills your hopes every time when you hope.
You know this feeling, right?
More desperate than hopeless. "
At this point, Fu Hui already looked bitter.
… (End of this chapter)
Chapter end
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